0 comments | Print

Dan Walters: Field Poll shows California's wide divide

Published: Wednesday, Mar. 16, 2011 - 12:00 am | Page 3A
Last Modified: Tuesday, Apr. 10, 2012 - 9:16 pm

About 90 percent of the men and women who hold seats in the Legislature are either true-blue liberals or red-meat conservatives even though polls have consistently indicated that only about half of California's voters fall into those categories.

That's another way of saying that the state's moderate Democrats, centrist Republicans and independent voters – half of the electorate – have only scant representation in the Capitol.

The stark contrast between the political dynamics inside the Capitol and the reality outside its impervious granite walls is one of the major impediments to timely and effective political decision-making. Those inside the building engage in ideological gamesmanship. Those outside just want politicians to do their jobs, even if that requires compromise.

The division is especially evident in the Capitol's endless skirmishes over the state budget, particularly on how to close the chronic gap between the spending promises that legislators and voters have enacted, and the revenue that the tax system can produce.

What used to be an annual battle has more recently become a perpetual one because the recession has widened the income-outgo gap. The Capitol is now engaged in another of its melodramatic clashes, with initial floor votes on Gov. Jerry Brown's plan scheduled for today.

Brown and other Democrats want to ask voters to extend billions of dollars in temporary tax hikes that otherwise will expire, while Republicans balk and – without being specific – say spending should be slashed instead.

A new poll by the Field Research Corp., the state's most venerable pollster, and UC Berkeley neatly frames the gap between the state's politicians and its voters.

In general, the Field/UC poll found that voters support – albeit not by a particularly wide margin – Brown's plan to both cut spending and extend the temporary taxes, but they would oppose anything labeled as new and additional taxes.

That's why Brown is increasingly desperate to get his plan through the Legislature – as written it would require at least four Republican votes – and onto a special election ballot in June. He and other supporters want to call them tax extensions and not the tax increases they would become after June 30.

Thus the Field/UC poll simultaneously bolsters Brown's case and indicates that he has a narrow margin of public support.

And while liberals may cheer voter approval of tax extensions, conservatives can take heart from the voters' strong dislike of relying primarily on revenue to close the budget gap.

The poll implies that were Brown's plan to make the June ballot – no better than a 50-50 bet at this moment – its success or failure would hinge largely on how it's defined to voters in what would likely be a low-turnout election.

© Copyright The Sacramento Bee. All rights reserved.


Call The Bee's Dan Walters, (916) 321-1195. Back columns, www.sacbee.com/walters

Read more articles by Dan Walters



About Comments

Reader comments on Sacbee.com are the opinions of the writer, not The Sacramento Bee. If you see an objectionable comment, click the "Report Abuse" link below it. We will delete comments containing inappropriate links, obscenities, hate speech, and personal attacks. Flagrant or repeat violators will be banned. See more about comments here.

What You Should Know About Comments on Sacbee.com

Sacbee.com is happy to provide a forum for reader interaction, discussion, feedback and reaction to our stories. However, we reserve the right to delete inappropriate comments or ban users who can't play nice. (See our full terms of service here.)

Here are some rules of the road:

• Keep your comments civil. Don't insult one another or the subjects of our articles. If you think a comment violates our guidelines click the "Report Abuse" link to notify the moderators. Responding to the comment will only encourage bad behavior.

• Don't use profanities, vulgarities or hate speech. This is a general interest news site. Sometimes, there are children present. Don't say anything in a way you wouldn't want your own child to hear.

• Do not attack other users; focus your comments on issues, not individuals.

• Stay on topic. Only post comments relevant to the article at hand.

• Do not copy and paste outside material into the comment box.

• Don't repeat the same comment over and over. We heard you the first time.

• Do not use the commenting system for advertising. That's spam and it isn't allowed.

• Don't use all capital letters. That's akin to yelling and not appreciated by the audience.

• Don't flag other users' comments just because you don't agree with their point of view. Please only flag comments that violate these guidelines.

You should also know that The Sacramento Bee does not screen comments before they are posted. You are more likely to see inappropriate comments before our staff does, so we ask that you click the "Report Abuse" link to submit those comments for moderator review. You also may notify us via email at feedback@sacbee.com. Note the headline on which the comment is made and tell us the profile name of the user who made the comment. Remember, comment moderation is subjective. You may find some material objectionable that we won't and vice versa.

If you submit a comment, the user name of your account will appear along with it. Users cannot remove their own comments once they have submitted them.

hide comments
Sacramento Bee Job listing powered by Careerbuilder.com
Quick Job Search
Buy
Used Cars
Dealer and private-party ads
Make:

Model:

Price Range:
to
Search within:
miles of ZIP

Advanced Search | 1982 & Older



Find 'n' Save Daily DealGet the Deal!

Local Deals