Autumn surprises that rocked presidential campaignsLoading
  • Ronald Reagan                           campaign    1980
    1980: The most famous October surprise is one that never happened. Republican challenger Ronald Reagan kept suggesting that President Jimmy Carter was trying to time the release of 52 American hostages held by Iran for just before Election Day. It didn't happen. Instead, Iran freed its hostages just hours after Reagan's inauguration.
    Photo caption: Republican candidate for President Ronald Reagan, left, and his running mate George H.W. Bush answer questions during a press conference Friday, July 26, 1980.
    Wally Fong | ASSOCIATED PRESS
  • McCain 2008
    Sept. 15, 2008: Lehman Brothers investment bank filed for the nation's largest bankruptcy ever, setting off a stock market crash and global financial panic that voters largely blamed on the Republicans in power. Sen. John McCain didn't help his cause by declaring that "the fundamentals of the economy are strong" - a statement mocked by Barack Obama's campaign. That's not to say Obama wouldn't have won, anyway, but it would have been a different race.
    Carolyn Kaster | AP
  • LBJ WIRETAP
    Oct. 31, 1968: The idea of the autumn game-changer dates at least to President Lyndon Johnson, who announced a halt to bombing in Vietnam on Oct. 31, 1968, giving a boost to the campaign of Vice President Hubert Humphrey. Richard Nixon won that race anyway. Nixon's 1972 re-election campaign benefited greatly from an October announcement by his national security adviser, Henry Kissinger, that "peace is at hand" in Vietnam, which proved premature.
    Photo caption: President Lyndon B. Johnson, left, with Senator Hubert H. Humphrey at the White House.
    AP
  • Bin Laden
    Oct. 29, 2004: Osama bin Laden releases a video threatening more attacks unless the U.S. changes its ways. It was widely reviled as a terrorist calling for Americans to vote against their president, George W. Bush, and instead strengthened the president's campaign. John Kerry would later contend that the video cost him the race. "It changed the entire dynamic of the last five days," Kerry said.
    RAHIMULLAH YOUSAFZAI | AP
  • SHIP ATTACK
    Oct. 12, 2000: Al-Qaida in Yemen terrorists blow a hole in the USS Cole as it sits in port, killing 17 sailors.The gut-wrenching shock to the nation didn't have a clear impact on the race between Gore and Bush. Later, a minor November surprise - the revelation that Bush had been arrested on a misdemeanor drunken driving charge back in 1976 - stirred Republican indignation because it came just five days before the election. Voters shrugged it off.
    Photo caption: The U.S. Navy destroyer USS Cole is towed from the port city of Aden, Yemen.
    SGT DON L. MAES | AP

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