BANARAS KHAN AFP An Afghan poll worker waits for voters during elections in August. A U.N.-backed fraud audit stripped nearly a million votes from President Hamid Karzai.

Travel - International
Comments (0) | | Print

Afghanistan: Violence feared in a runoff

Published: Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2009 - 12:00 am | Page 8A

KABUL, Afghanistan – Afghan President Hamid Karzai today was expected to accept a U.N.-backed fraud audit reducing his vote in the August election to less than 50 percent, but it wasn't clear if he'd consent to a deal with his chief rival to forge a national unity government and forgo a runoff, U.S. officials said Monday.

The prospect that Karzai might reject the audit, which was released Monday, had threatened to drive Afghanistan deeper into crisis as the Obama administration struggles to revamp a war strategy to reverse the growing Taliban-led insurgency and stem the bloodiest violence in the country since the 2001 U.S. invasion.

As part of an intense U.S.-led effort to pressure Karzai, the White House said it wouldn't consider a request by U.S. military commanders for as many as 80,000 additional troops for Afghanistan until it was convinced that Afghanistan had a credible government.

Karzai was expected to make his announcement at a Kabul news conference with Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry, D-Mass, who has been involved in the full-court diplomatic press to pressure Karzai into dropping his objections to the United Nations-sponsored Electoral Complaints Commission's fraud audit.

Two U.S. officials in Washington, who requested anonymity because they weren't authorized to speak publicly, said that Karzai was expected to accept the audit results at a news conference with Kerry.

However, they said they didn't know whether he'd agreed to embrace the offer by the second-place finisher, former Foreign Minister Abdullah Abdullah, to forgo a runoff and form a new unity government.

Abdullah told U.S. diplomats last week that he'd drop out of the race if Karzai accepted the audit findings, agreed to form a national unity government that included some Abdullah allies and pledged to pursue reforms that would dilute the presidency's power, including a change to permit the popular election of provincial governors.

"We would like to see a coalition government, but it's up to him (Karzai)," said one U.S. official. "From our standpoint, having him respect the election process will be significant. And it speaks to the credibility of the entire process: that an executive is subject to checks and balances."

Some experts, however, were skeptical of the prospects for any government led by Karzai, whose first five-year term has been marred by massive incompetence, nepotism and corruption fueled by drug smuggling and the billions of dollars in foreign reconstruction aid that's poured into one of the world's poorest nations.

The U.N.-backed commission's audit released Monday stripped nearly 1 million votes from Karzai, confirming massive ballot-box stuffing and other malfeasance – mostly on the Afghan leader's behalf – in the second presidential election in the country's history.

The audit dropped Karzai's vote tally from a preliminary total of 54.6 percent to 48.3 percent, according to an analysis by Democracy International, an organization that has been observing the election on behalf of the U.S. Agency for International Development.

The audit found far fewer fraudulent votes for Abdullah. His final total would rise from less than 28 percent to about 31 percent.

Under Afghan law, a runoff is required if no candidate captures more than 50 percent of the vote.

While Karzai appeared ready to accept the fraud audit, the crisis has done considerable damage. The spectacle of foreign powers so deeply involved in Afghan politics has played into the hands of the Taliban, which have gained support by portraying Karzai's administration as corrupt and a puppet of the United States.

And the Taliban-led insurgents have vowed to disrupt any runoff with what some U.S. defense officials fear could be violence of greater intensity than was launched against the first round.

If the Afghan Independent Election Commission declares a runoff, Karzai supporters said they'd ask Afghanistan's Supreme Court to annul the decision, charging foreign interference in the election process.

The allegation of foreign interference in a country that has suffered it for centuries has stoked tensions around country.

"I have spoken to a lot of people throughout Afghanistan, and they are ready for action, and they believe we are headed for a crisis," said Mohammad Anwar, a Karzai supporter who is a parliament member from war-torn southern Helmand province.

Under Afghan law, a runoff would have to be held two weeks after the final vote tally was announced, but that would be extremely difficult because of cold weather, insurgent attacks and the sheer logistics of holding a vote.


Call Jonathan S. Landay, McClatchy Washington Bureau, (202) 383-6012. Landay and Strobel reported from Washington. Bernton, of the Seattle Times, is in Kabul, Afghanistan.


hide comments

About Comments

Reader comments on Sacbee.com are the opinions of the writer, not The Sacramento Bee. If you see an objectionable comment, click the "report abuse" button below it. We will delete comments containing inappropriate links, obscenities, hate speech, and personal attacks. Flagrant or repeat violators will be banned. See more about comments here.

What You Should Know About Comments on Sacbee.com

Sacbee.com is happy to provide a forum for reader interaction, discussion, feedback and reaction to our stories. However, we reserve the right to delete inappropriate comments or ban users who can't play nice. (See our full terms of service here.)

Here are some rules of the road:

• Keep your comments civil. Don't insult one another or the subjects of our articles. If you think a comment violates our guidelines click the "report abuse" button to notify the moderators. Responding to the comment will only encourage bad behavior.

• Don't use profanities, vulgarities or hate speech. This is a general interest news site. Sometimes, there are children present. Don't say anything in a way you wouldn't want your own child to hear.

• Do not attack other users; focus your comments on issues, not individuals.

• Stay on topic. Only post comments relevant to the article at hand. If you want to discuss an issue with a specific user, click on his profile name and send him a direct message.

• Do not copy and paste outside material into the comment box.

• Don't repeat the same comment over and over. We heard you the first time.

• Do not use the commenting system for advertising. That's spam and it isn't allowed.

• Don't use all capital letters. That's akin to yelling and not appreciated by the audience.

You should also know that The Sacramento Bee does not screen comments before they are posted. You are more likely to see inappropriate comments before our staff does, so we ask that you click the "report abuse" button to submit those comments for moderator review. You also may notify us via email at feedback@sacbee.com. Note the headline on which the comment is made and tell us the profile name of the user who made the comment. Remember, comment moderation is subjective. You may find some material objectionable that we won't and vice versa.

If you submit a comment, the user name of your account will appear along with it. Users cannot remove their own comments once they have submitted them, but you may ask our staff to retract one of your comments by sending an email to feedback@sacbee.com. Again, make sure you note the headline on which the comment is made and tell us your profile name.


Sacramento Bee Job listing powered by Careerbuilder.com

Quick Job Search

View All Top Jobs
Buy
Used Cars
Dealer and private-party ads
Make:

Model:

Price Range:
to
Search within:
miles of ZIP

Advanced Search | 1982 & Older

SacBee Marketplace

Featured Categories

Legal Worship Education Health View all
Powered by Planet Discover