May 14, 2008

Hoffenblum on Dems' shot for supermajority

Allan Hoffenblum, the publisher of the California Target Book, which handicaps political races in the state, has written up a rundown of the Democratic Party's chances for winning a supermajority in the Legislature.

He says Democrats would need a clean sweep and "two major upset wins" in the Assembly races. There's pretty much no chance in the Senate (where Dems need to pick up two seats).

Read Hoffenblum's analysis at the new Fox and Hounds blog.

The seats Democrats would need to win in the Assembly are AD 80 (Bonnie Garcia), AD 78 (Shirley Horton), AD 15 (Guy Houston), AD 26 (Greg Aghazarian), AD 10 (Alan Nakanishi) and AD 37 (Audra Strickland, the only GOPer of the bunch not termed out). Democrats would also have to hold AD 30, currently held by Assemblywoman Nicole Parra.

Posted by Shane Goldmacher on May 14, 2008 12:02 PM