From: JK DataQuick
[jkarev@dataquick.com]
Sent: Tuesday, August 19, 2008 9:21
AM
To: Becky DQNews
Cc:
alepage@dqnews.com
Subject: DataQuick: July Bay Area Home Sales
For immediate
release
Business
editors/real estate writers
Bay Area home
sales climb above last year; median price falls hard
La Jolla, CA ----
Bay Area home sales eked out their first year-over-
year gain since early
2005 last month as buyers responded to price cuts and
snapped up more inland
foreclosures. The median sales price dove to a 53-
month low, a real estate
information service reported.
A total of 7,586 new
and resale houses and condos sold across the nine-
county Bay Area in July.
That was up 5.7 percent from 7,178 in June and up
2.2 percent from 7,423 in
July 2007, according to San Diego-based MDA
DataQuick.
July sales were the highest for any month since
June 2007 and marked
the first annual sales gain for any month since January
2005. However, last
month's sales still fell 22 percent short of the average
July sales total
since 1988, when MDA DataQuick's statistics begin, and were
the second-
lowest for a July since 1995.
Sales
of distressed properties played a major role in most areas
logging annual
sales gains last month.
Foreclosure resales – homes
sold in July that had been foreclosed on in
the prior 12 months – made up 33
percent of all resales. That was up from
29.9 percent in June and 4.2
percent in July 2007. Foreclosure resales
ranged from 4.6 percent of the
resale market in San Francisco to 65.9
percent in Solano
County.
In Solano and Contra Costa counties, where
deeply discounted
foreclosures are most common, 11 zip codes posted sales of
existing houses
that were at least twice as high as in July
2007.
"So much of today's market is driven by
distress. Unless interpreted in
that context, the stats give a rather
distorted view of the overall market.
We know one-third of the Bay Area's
resales in July were homes fresh off
foreclosure. Who knows how many more
involved a desperate seller and a
lender who accepted a short sale," said
John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.
"Meanwhile,
many would-be sellers wait for a healthier market and many
would-be buyers,
especially those eyeing costlier coastal homes, wait for
signs of a market
bottom or for the return of more favorable financing. A
clearer picture of
the entire housing market will emerge once more of these
foreclosures burn
off and more lenders, sellers and buyers get off the
sidelines and back into
the housing game."
Since the credit crunch hit last
August, making "jumbo" mortgages over
$417,000 more expensive and harder to
obtain, the percent of Bay Area homes
financed with jumbo loans has
plummeted. Last month jumbos made up 32.3
percent of all home purchase
loans, down from 63.1 percent in July 2007.
In
addition to undermining sales, the dropoff in jumbo use helps
explain why
the median price has fallen so sharply. With fewer high-end
coastal homes
selling, the pool of sales from which a median can be derived
skews toward
the lower-cost homes that are selling best.
This
fundamental shift in the types of homes selling, coupled with
depreciation,
especially inland, pushed the Bay Area's median sales price
down to $470,000
in July. That was 3.1 percent lower than $485,000 in June
this year and 29.3
percent lower than the peak $665,000 median reached in
July and June of
2007.
The median has not been lower than July's
since March 2005, when it was
$469,500. The 29.3 percent year-over-year drop
in the July median is a
record in MDA DataQuick's
statistics.
MDA DataQuick, a subsidiary of
Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and
Associates, monitors real estate
activity nationwide and provides
information to consumers, educational
institutions, public agencies, lending
institutions, title companies and
industry analysts.
The typical monthly
mortgage payment that Bay Area buyers committed
themselves to paying was
$2,218 last month, down from $2,282 the previous
month, and down from $3,222
a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, current
payments are 15.1 percent below
typical payments in the spring of 1989, the
peak of the prior real estate
cycle. They are 36.1 percent below the current
cycle's peak in June
2006.
Indicators of market distress continue to move
in different directions.
Foreclosure activity is at record levels, financing
with adjustable-rate
mortgages is at a six-year low. Down payment sizes and
flipping rates are
stable, non-owner occupied buying activity is flat,
DataQuick reported.
(chart)
All
homes Jul-07
Jul-08 %Chng
Jul-07 Jul-08 %Chng
Alameda
1,577 1,428 -9.4%
$605,000 $440,000 -27.3%
Contra
Costa 1,328
1,730 30.3% $599,000
$350,000 -41.6%
Marin
306 277
-9.5% $887,500 $770,000 -13.2%
Napa
85 125
47.1% $614,500 $440,000 -28.4%
Santa Clara 1,910
1,660 -13.1% $700,000
$585,500 -16.4%
San
Francisco 564
609 8.0% $799,000
$749,000 -6.3%
San
Mateo
728 648 -11.0%
$800,000 $670,000 -16.3%
Solano
408 592
45.1% $415,000 $275,000 -33.7%
Sonoma
517 517
0.0% $520,000 $362,500 -30.3%
Bay
Area
7,423 7,586
2.2% $665,000 $470,000
-29.3%
Source: DataQuick Information Systems,
DQNews.com
-30-
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916)456-7157 or
John Karevoll (909) 867-9534