From: JK DataQuick
[jkarev@dataquick.com]
Sent: Wednesday, September 17, 2008 9:18
AM
To: Becky DQNews
Subject: DataQuick: Southland August
Home Sales
For immediate
release
Business editors/real estate
writers
Southland home sales post second
annual gain; another record price drop
La
Jolla, CA--- Southern California home sales downshifted slightly in
August
from July, but were higher than a year ago for the second consecutive
month.
The median sales price continued to tumble, declining the most where
buyers
were the most active, a real estate information service
reported.
The median price paid for all new and
resale houses and condos sold in
Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura,
San Bernardino and Orange
counties was $330,000 last month, down 5.2 percent
from $348,000 in July and
down a record 34 percent from $500,000 in August
2007, according to San
Diego-based MDA
DataQuick.
Last month's median stood at the lowest
point since November 2003 when
it was also $330,000. The median peaked at
$505,000 in the spring and summer
of last year.
"It's the most common and pressing question we hear from Wall Street and
Main Street: When will the housing market hit bottom? We see tentative signs
that sales – not prices – have hit bottom in some inland markets. That's
where home values have fallen the most, stoking a lot more demand," said
John
Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.
"Some
expect prices to bottom out soon, too," he continued. "That may
happen, but
history suggests that few of us will time the bottom precisely.
Foreclosure
activity remains high, credit is still tight, affordability
remains strained
on the coast and the job market is soft. Our take remains
that a lot of
buyers and sellers who don't have to act now are just sitting
tight, holding
out for a better time to make their move."
The
yearlong plunge in the Southland median sales price reflects three
things:
Depreciation, a high concentration of sales made after or under the
threat
of foreclosure (mainly in inland markets), and a dramatic decline in
homes
financed with larger, so-called jumbo mortgages. Until recently such
mortgages were defined as over $417,000 and were common in pricier coastal
markets.
Before the credit crunch hit just over
a year ago, nearly 40 percent of
Southland sales were financed with loans
over $417,000, compared with 15.6
percent of sales last
month.
A total of 19,366 new and resale houses and
condos closed escrow in
Southern California last month. That was down 4.7
percent from 20,329 in July
but up 9.1 percent from 17,755 in August
2007.
August's sales total was 30 percent lower than the
average for that month
and marked the third-lowest for any August since
1988, when MDA DataQuick's
statistics begin. August sales peaked in 2003 at
39,562.
Sales have picked up most – sometimes at
double or more last year's pace
– in inland communities where home values
have plummeted and foreclosures
have soared. Foreclosure resales made up
45.5 percent of all Southland
resales last month, up from 43.7 in July and
10 percent a year ago. The
figure represents the percentage of homes resold
in August that had been
foreclosed on at some point in the prior 12 months.
Foreclosure resales were highest in Riverside
County, at 65.2 percent of
resales, and lowest in Orange County, at 33.4
percent.
MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending
Solutions, a subsidiary of
Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and
Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors
real estate activity nationwide and
provides information to consumers,
educational institutions, public
agencies, lending institutions, title
companies and industry
analysts.
The typical monthly mortgage payment that
Southland buyers committed
themselves to paying was $1,566 last month, down
from a $1,642 the previous
month, and down from $2,421 a year ago. Adjusted
for inflation, the current
payment is at its lowest level in more than five
years. It is 38.6 percent
below its year-ago level and 26.9 percent lower
than the spring of 1989, the
peak of the prior real estate
cycle.
Indicators of market distress continue to
move in different directions.
Foreclosure activity is at record levels,
financing with adjustable-rate
mortgages is near the all-time low, as is
financing with multiple mortgages.
Down payment sizes and flipping rates are
stable, non-owner occupied buying
activity appears flat but might be
emerging, MDA DataQuick reported.
(chart)
All
homes Aug-07
Aug-08 %Chng
Aug-07 Aug-08
%Chng
Los
Angeles 6,647
6,138 -7.7% $550,000
$380,000 -30.9%
Orange
2,285 2,713 18.7%
$642,250 $440,000 -31.5%
Riverside
2,834 4,078 43.9%
$394,523 $247,450 -37.3%
San
Bernardino 2,096 2,439
16.4% $360,000 $215,000 -40.3%
San
Diego 3,104
3,148 1.4% $475,000
$350,000 -26.3%
Ventura
789 850 7.7%
$575,000 $400,000 -30.4%
SoCal
17,755 19,366 9.1%
$500,000 $330,000 -34.0%