Wall Street Journal columnist Evan Newmark continues the debate over public pensions in this "Mean Street" piece. He begins with a question:
Which job would you rather have?
That of an information-technology executive developing trading systems for a prestigious Wall Street firm, earning $200,000 a year?
Or a guidance counselor hunting down truants at a rundown New York City public school, earning $60,000 a school year?
His answer:
Before this year, most of you probably would have chosen the Wall Street job. Not anymore. It is getting harder and harder to have a stable career and healthy retirement in corporate America.
That is why jobs in the public sector-policeman, postman, politician, schoolteacher-and the "defined benefit" pensions that go along with them are looking better and better.
But here's the twist:
Many in government may welcome Wall Street's comeuppance in the Crash of 2008. But that very event now threatens the viability of the entire fat public-sector pension system ... but the U.S. stock market has effectively produced a zero return for the past 10 years.
And without decent returns in shares, the large public pension funds like CalPERS, the California Public Employee Retirement System, will face big troubles in meeting their obligations.
His point is well taken. The stock market's rising tide lifts all pension boats, but when it goes down the drain, taxes keep public pension plans afloat.
The e-mails and the calls we get almost every day reflect how deeply folks in the private sector resent public employee pensions. To their way of thinking, it's unfair that CalPERS, say, can lose billions in assets and then send a bill to the state to cover its retirement obligations. No one backstops 401(k) accounts, a fact that has been amplified by the markets' recent losses.
(Yes, we know that in the good times the state paid virtually nothing to CalPERS, but the public files that under "O" for "Oughta be that way all the time.")
Meanwhile, many public workers are sick of what they perceive as nothing more than envious civil service bashing. Some relish their guaranteed retirement. A recent comment from a self-identified state employee told public pension complainers on the blog to "shut up and pay your taxes."
Here's the thing: Public opinion matters, especially in a state like California that lets voters directly shape policy through the ballot initiative process. Look at Orange County. Residents there vote today on Measure J, which requires voter approval for all pension increases for county employees and county elected officials.
If the economy was strong and private pension plans were healthy, the public worker retirement debate wouldn't be nearly so strident. But if we're in for a long economic slog, how long before a ticked-off taxpayers group gets the idea to put a Measure J-type initiative up for statewide vote?
Newmark ends his piece with this cogent observation:
It all comes full circle. The public-sector employees need a healthy Wall Street. The American dream of "economic security" needs the American dream of going from rags to riches. And our guidance counselor needs the IT executive more than he knows.