Capitol Alert

AM Alert: Obama's popularity dives to record low in California

President Barack Obama’s approval ratings have fallen to a record low in California, with nearly as many voters now disapproving of the job Obama is doing as approving.

Only 45 percent of California voters hold a favorable view of Obama’s job performance, according to a new Field Poll released today, down five percentage points from June and dropping below 50 percent for the first time since late 2011. Disapproval climbed to 43 percent.

The latest decline is driven by dissastisfaction from Obama’s own base; support among California Democrats dropped eight percentage points to 68 percent over the last three months.

That could spell trouble for Democrats in downticket races this November. If Obama’s sinking popularity in California suppresses Democratic turnout and drives Republicans to the polls, it could help the national GOP’s efforts to win several hotly contested congressional seats in the state and hamper the California Democratic Party’s goal of maintaining its two-thirds supermajorities in both houses of the Legislature.

Alexei Koseff has more on the political implications of Obama’s approval ratings in today’s newspaper. Here are the statistical tabulations prepared exclusively for Capitol Alert, and the publicly released results of the poll.

VIDEO: Low projected turnout for the November election is an opportunity for California Republicans to pick up congressional and legislative seats, Dan Walters says.

ON THE HORIZON: I hope you all recovered from your legislative hangovers during the long holiday weekend, because the arrival of September means election season is upon us. In just two months, we’ll know whether Gov. Jerry Brown wins an historic fourth term, whether Republicans will once again be shut out from statewide office, and whether legislative Democrats can hang on to their supermajorities. The Bee’s Capitol Bureau will be bringing you coverage of all the major statewide races, as well local Senate, Assembly and congressional campaigns. Our Capitol Alert Insider Edition app, available for download in iTunes and Google Play stores for mobile and tablet devices, also has a new campaign finance tool with daily updates on contribution filings and independent expenditures.