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Atmospheric river to flow through Sacramento area. How much rain will we get?

An atmospheric river-fueled storm will sweep the Sacramento area, bringing rain showers and possible flooding, according to the National Weather Service.

“We’re having an atmospheric river system coming through the area this week,” Sara Purdue, National Weather Service meteorologist, told The Sacramento Bee on Monday, Nov. 18.

The storm could have “pretty significant impacts” on parts of Northern California, Purdue said.

On Monday, the weather service issued a flood watch for the northern and central Sacramento Valley, including the cities of Chico, Paradise, Redding and Red Bluff.

“Excessive runoff may result in sharp rises of rivers, creeks and streams, and ponding of water on roadways and other low-lying locations,” the weather service said in the flood watch.

A Tesla crosses a flooded section of Sutterville Road in Sacramento on Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022 as rain fell in the Sacramento region.
A Tesla crosses a flooded section of Sutterville Road in Sacramento on Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022 as rain fell in the Sacramento region. Hector Amezcua hamezcua@sacbee.com

What is an atmospheric river?

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, atmospheric rivers are streams in the atmosphere that carry water vapors outside of the tropics.

They’re sometimes referred to as “rivers in the sky.”

Pet sitter Kristine Stoflet of Peaceful Pets walks Lola in the rain in East Sacramento in January 2024. An atmospheric river-fueled storm is expected to hit the Sacramento area starting on Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2024.
Pet sitter Kristine Stoflet of Peaceful Pets walks Lola in the rain in East Sacramento in January 2024. An atmospheric river-fueled storm is expected to hit the Sacramento area starting on Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2024. Paul Kitagaki Jr. pkitagaki@sacbee.com

What’s in the weather forecast for Sacramento?

Monday was expected to be sunny in Sacramento with a high temperature near 58 degrees, according to the National Weather Service’s latest forecast.

The temperature will drop to 34 degrees overnight, the weather agency said, with areas of frost after 2 a.m. Tuesday.

Tuesday will get off to a chilly start with frost before 9 a.m.

Otherwise, the day will be mostly sunny with a high near 56 and a low around 48.

McKinley Thompson-Morley walks to work in the rain on Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2024 in downtown Sacramento near the state Capitol.
McKinley Thompson-Morley walks to work in the rain on Wednesday, Jan. 24, 2024 in downtown Sacramento near the state Capitol. Hector Amezcua hamezcua@sacbee.com

When will rain showers start?

There’s a 20% chance of showers after 10 p.m. Tuesday, the weather service said in its forecast, with “precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.”

Showers are likely on Wednesday, when the chance of precipitation is 70% during the day and 80% at night.

The high will be near 56, and the low will be around 49. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sacramento can expect more showers on Thursday, mainly before 10 a.m.

Thursday will see a high near 62 during the day, when there’s a 70% chance of precipitation, and a low around 47 overnight.

Friday is forecast to be mostly cloudy, with a high near 62 and a low around 48.

Showers are likely on Saturday and Sunday, which will see highs in the high 50s or low 60s and lows in the high 40s.

How much rainfall will we get?

Purdue said there will be “two rounds” of rainfall in the Sacramento area.

The Sacramento area has a 60% to 80% chance of seeing an inch of rain or more from Tuesday night into Friday morning, she said.

In contrast, areas north of Interstate 80 have an 80% to 100% chance of receiving 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, according to Purdue.

“Places like Redding and Red Bluff are definitely going to see more than an inch,” Purdue said.

“Over the weekend, there will be a second wave as the storm system moves through California,” Purdue said. “There’s a 60 to 70% chance for another inch of rain on Saturday.”

What’s next for Northern California?

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, there are equal to slightly above normal chances for above-normal temperatures from Monday, Nov. 25, through Sunday, Dec. 1.

“Precipitation is leaning toward above normal for this time of year,” Purdue said.

This story was originally published November 18, 2024 at 12:49 PM.

Sarah Linn
The Tribune
Sarah Linn is an editor and reporter on the West Service Journalism Team, working with journalists in Sacramento, Modesto, Fresno, Merced and San Luis Obispo in California and Bellingham, Olympia and Tri-Cities in Washington, as well as Boise, Idaho. She previously served as the Local/Entertainment Editor of The Tribune in San Luis Obispo, working there for nearly two decades. A graduate of Oregon State University, she has earned multiple California journalism awards.
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