Capitol Alert

AM Alert: What effect will Latino and Asian American voters have in 2016?

Mike Lee marks his ballot while voting in the California Primary, in Sacramento,Calif., Tuesday, June 3, 2014.
Mike Lee marks his ballot while voting in the California Primary, in Sacramento,Calif., Tuesday, June 3, 2014. AP

California’s record-low turnout in last year’s elections was exacerbated by the especially low turnout of Latinos and Asian Americans, who together make up more than half the state’s population but traditionally vote in lower numbers.

So what to expect in future elections?

If turnout rates hold, California’s Latino portion of the vote will increase nearly 2 percentage points, to just more than 21 percent, in 2016 – and to more than 29 percent by 2040, according to an analysis by researchers at the University of California, Davis.

The Asian American share of the vote could increase to 8 percent by 2040.

Still, the effect of Latino and Asian American voters on elections will not match their share of the population. Mindy Romero, director of Davis’ Civic Engagement Project, will give a legislative briefing on Latino and Asian American voter under-representation at 2 p.m. at the Capitol, Room 127.

PRESS MATTERS: Dave Lesher, editor and chief executive officer of the nonprofit journalism venture CALmatters, will discuss the startup at the Sacramento Press Club at 11:45 a.m. at the Capitol Plaza Ballroom on 9th Street.

EASY CROWD: Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León will talk clean energy with the Sierra Club at a summit in San Jose. The Los Angeles lawmaker goes on at 1 p.m. at the Corinthian Grand Ballroom, 196 N. 3rd Street.

David Siders: 916-321-1215, @davidsiders

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